The Labor Party is nearing the conquest of a narrow majority government, despite having registered a primary vote of just 32.8%, while the Liberal Party seeks answers after a devastating defeat.
The ALP ended the evening with 72 seats, four fewer than necessary to rule fully, but enough for Anthony Albanese to claim victory as elected prime minister.
As the count resumed this morning, Labor moved forward in a series of seats in line. He currently leads Bennelong, Sturt and Deakin, held by the Liberals, with the latter now named as a probable gain by ABC. The party seems destined to last for a while in Lingiari and Lyon, and could avert a scare by the Greens in Macnamara.
In Gilmore, so far the only potential liberal gain, Labor is now back in the lead. If Labor wins those seven seats, it will reach a majority of 79. Labor could reap two more unexpected benefits: It is racing head-to-head with Menzie, just 45 votes less, and a few hundred behind Moore, never a set target. but at stake thanks to the huge swing in Western Australia.
The biggest and most pointless job loss is at Fowler’s once safe location in Sydney’s diverse southwest, where independent Dai Le defeated Kristina Keneally, the Northern Beaches blast. The Greens’ Max Chandler-Mather won Kevin Rudd’s old Griffith seat off Terri Butler.
In the Senate, the first signs point to a huge achievement for progressives who could hold a majority in the upper house. Independent David Pocock is well on his way to unseating Zed Seselja in ACT. The Greens appear poised to take an additional seat in NSW, SA and Queensland, with the latter at the expense of far-right rising LNP star Amanda Stoker and One Nation leader Pauline Hanson. The Lambie Network’s Tammy Tyrrell is poised to grab a spot in Tasmania, at the expense of conservative veteran liberal Eric Abetz.
Despite big progressive victories across the country, this is still not a clear landslide victory for Labor and the elections will put an end to the historical narrative that the party can only win from the opposition in the wake of a broad and decisive swing in its own right. favor.
But as the count continues, what is clear is that this is a crushing defeat for the Liberal Party. The Coalition is likely to end up with fewer than 60 seats in the House of Representatives, the worst election result since … 1983.
The party was particularly devastated in the capitals, where it lost seats to Labor, the Greens and the teal separatists. So far, the Liberals only have one seat in Melbourne and are looking at three at most. It could end up with no one in both Adelaide and Perth.
Now, the recriminations must begin for a party already bitterly divided well before the election campaign begins. Asked to diagnose what went wrong for the party, Simon Birmingham, one of the few remaining moderates, pointed to the unnecessarily protracted debate over same-sex marriage and the National Energy Guarantee as key turning points in pushing away. from the party the socially progressive liberal voters.
Birmingham also said Australia should commit to raising its 2030 emissions reduction target from 26 to 28 percent.
The story was different on Sky News, where Conservative Senator Alex Antic had his own diagnosis of the party’s electoral collapse.
“The Liberal Party’s experiment with the poison of the left and progressivism must be ended,” he said.
But for NSW treasurer Matt Kean, the state’s most powerful moderate, the message was that the party had strayed from the heart of the nation.
“When the Liberal Party goes too far to the right, we lose to the center,” he said.
There will be many more days of snipers as conservatives and moderates within the sprawling crumbling church push themselves to accuse the other side of leading the party to its massive defeat.
Morrison, who announced last night that he would step down as leader, must take a huge part of the blame: his abrasive leadership style has clearly alienated voters across the country.
With Josh Frydenberg gone and the private party of moderates, the way is clear for Peter Dutton to step forward as the leader of the opposition. Angus Taylor and Dan Tehan are both outside names that were thrown into the mix.