How we got to 1 million Covid deaths – in four rankings.

It is as if the entire population of Delaware, Montana or Rhode Island, or all of Austin, has disappeared in just two years.

The toll is based on death certificates, but most experts believe it is an undercount given the number of diagnoses likely missed in the spring of 2020, when the virus was poorly understood and tests were scarce.

At the time, 1 million deaths seemed like a doomsday prediction, a disastrous prediction created by statistical models that assumed everything would go wrong.

“I have never seen a model of the diseases I have dealt with in the worst case scenario”, Anthony Fauci said in March 2020. “So when you use numbers like 1 million, 1.5 million, 2 million, that’s almost certainly off the charts. Now, it’s not impossible but very, very unlikely. “

Fauci, at the time, predicted between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths, a figure that drew ridicule in the Trump administration for being overly pessimistic.

“It’s tragic. I am saddened, as a doctor, scientist and public health officer, to see that this country with all our resources will end up with more than a million deaths from this outbreak, “Fauci told POLITICO on Tuesday.” And many of those. deaths could have been avoided. There is no doubt about that. “

Fauci added that he hopes this sobering milestone will “call attention” to the risks to unvaccinated people and prompt them to reconsider.

“If you look at the difference between hospitalization and death, between vaccinated and unvaccinated, you know this number screams at us why we should vaccinate more people,” he said.

How Covid-19 kept coming back

Daily deaths, average of seven days