Links 5/8/2022 | naked capitalism

Lambert and I, and many readers, agree that Ukraine has prompted the worst informational environment ever. We hope readers will collaborate in mitigating the fog of war — both real fog and stage fog — in comments. None of us need more cheerleading and link-free repetition of memes; there are platforms for that. Low-value, link-free pom pom-wavers will be summarily whacked.

And for those who are new here, this is not a mere polite request. We have written site Policies and those who comment have accepted those terms. To prevent having to resort to the nuclear option of shutting comments down entirely until more sanity prevails, as we did during the 2015 Greek bailout negotiations and shortly after the 2020 election, we are going to be ruthless about moderating and blacklisting offenders.

–Yves

P.S. Also, before further stressing our already stressed moderators, read our site policies:

Please do not write us to ask why a comment has not appeared. We do not have the bandwidth to investigate and reply. Using the comments section to complain about moderation decisions/tripwires earns that commenter troll points. Please don’t do it. Those comments will also be removed if we encounter them.

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Astronauts Have Distinct Brain Changes Even Months After They Return to Earth Science Alert

Twitter bots, explained Trung T. Phan

Climate

‘Record after record’: Brazil’s Amazon deforestation hits April high, nearly double previous peak Guardian

Red Hill Water Contamination Sickened Some 2,000 People, Survey Finds Honolulu Civil Beat. The US Navy built a fuel storage tank on top of an aquifer, good job.

#COVID19

Expect rise in US COVID deaths, hospital admissions over next 4 weeks: CDC forecast ABC Philadelphia. NC readers will not be surprised by this.

We’re living with COVID but more of us are dying than ever The Age. Or this.

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In-person schooling and associated COVID-19 risk in the United States over spring semester 2021 Science. “Here, we use data from a massive online survey to characterize changes in in-person schooling behavior and associated risks over that period…. By May to June, risks of all COVID-19–related outcomes disappeared when four or more mitigation measures were reported….. hese findings were consistent across the study period even as vaccination rates increased, emphasizing the importance of layered mitigation measures to reduce the risk of transmission in schools.”

Most US kids have caught the coronavirus, antibody survey finds Nature. “Researchers looked for COVID-19 antibodies in blood samples from more than 86,000 children under 18 years old — including some 6,100 children aged between one and four. In the youngest children, the number of infections more than doubled, from 33% to 68% between December 2021 and February 2022.” Quite a change from Spring 2021 to December 2021. Joe, Rochelle, Tony, Jeff: Take a bow!

Your health is in your hands? US CDC COVID-19 mask guidance reveals the moral foundations of public health The Lancet. Important. As the first link shows, layered “mitigations” (including non-pharmaceutical interventions) remove risk and save lives. One can only wonder why the CDC and the Biden administration are sabotaging them.

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Managing an evolving pandemic: Cryptic circulation of the Delta variant during the Omicron rise Science of The Total Environment. From 2022, still germane. From the Abstract: “In contrast to the expected dynamics whereupon the Delta variant diminishes as Omicron variant increases, representative results received from wastewater detection indicated a cryptic circulation of the Delta variant even with the increased levels of Omicron variant…. According to the developed model, it can be expected that the Omicron levels will decrease until eliminated, while Delta variant will maintain its cryptic circulation. If this comes to pass, the mentioned .” Musical interlude.

BA.2.12.1, BA.4 and BA.5 escape antibodies elicited by Omicron infection (preprint) bioRxiv. From the Abstract: “Together, our results indicate that Omicron can evolve mutations to specifically evade humoral immunity elicited by BA.1 infection. The [sic] and suggests that BA.1-derived vaccine boosters may not be ideal for achieving broad-spectrum protection.”

Quantifying the relationship between sub-population wastewater samples and community-wide SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence (preprint) medRxiv. From the Abstract: “The study demonstrates how results from serial stratified randomized serological sampling of the community can be used to build a longitudinal model that can interpolate and extrapolate community levels of infection beyond specific testing dates…. The study demonstrates that convenience sampling obtained data from health department reporting seriously underestimates community-wide prevalence of infection. In contrast, .”

Sri Lanka president declares state of emergency amid unrest Channel News Asia

China?

Shanghai lockdown tests Xi Jinping’s loyalties in China’s Communist party FT

China lockdowns are not causing shipping chaos, say liner CEOs Hellenic Shipping News

China’s robot-built 3D-printed dam ready in 2 years: scientists South China Morning Post

U.S. Presses Taiwan to Buy Weapons More Suited to Win Against China NYT. Not agreement-capable (1):

Not agreement-capable (2):

UK/EU

Breaking: Starmer’s #Beergate was planned dinner – and even advertised that lockdown was in place The Sqwawkbox. Just like BoJo. And to think I believed Starmer was one of the good guys….

Sinn Fein calls for united Ireland debate after historic election win Reuters

New Not-So-Cold War

Inside Azovstal Territory: First Western Journalist Inside Azovstal In Mariupol (Special Report) (video) Patrick Lancaster, YouTube. This is the on-the-ground reporting we have:

Ukraine Evacuates Civilians From Steel Plant Under Siege Republic World. A round-up, not only Azovstal. Interesting that, even in India, the story has become getting civilians out of Azovstal, instead of whacking the Nazis who held them as hostages.

Better weather may shift Russia’s fortunes in Ukraine Asia Times

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Incompetence or the realities of war? Turmoil for Canadian-led foreign battalion in Ukraine National Post. The organizer’s “black sun” tattoo finally appears in paragraph 32.

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The War Is Getting More Dangerous for America, and Biden Knows It Thomas Friedman, NYT. “[W]e are dealing with some incredibly unstable elements, particularly a politically wounded Putin. Boasting about killing his generals and sinking his ships, or falling in love with Ukraine in ways that will get us enmeshed there forever, is the height of folly.” What’s the world coming to? I’m agreeing with Friedman…

Chartbook #119: Lend-Lease & Escalation Adam Tooze, Chartbook

Return of the King Wolfgang Streeck, New Left Review

Putin’s Next Power Play Is a Parade Foreign Policy

Shortages

Fertilizer issues threaten South American soybean crops The Western Producer

Baby formula shortage worsens: About 40% of popular brands sold out across US USA Today

Nigeria Is First Nation to Ground Flights as Fuel Costs Soar Bloomberg

Biden Administration

George Cheeks, the president of CBS, tests positive for coronavirus after attending the White House Correspondents’ Dinner. NYT. “The network’s leader sat between the president and first lady, all unmasked, at the event.”

Supremes

The New Abortion Battleground (PDF) Columbia Law Review. From the Abstract:

Judges and scholars have long claimed that abortion law will become simpler if Roe is overturned, but that is woefully naïve. Overturning Roe will create a novel world of complex, interjurisdictional legal conflicts over abortion. Some states will pass laws banning their citizens from out-of-state abortions while others will pass laws insulating their providers from out-of-state prosecutions. State legislatures are already introducing and drafting bills to this effect. The federal government will also stake a claim. Beyond promoting access to medication abortion, federal regulations may preempt state abortion bans and federal land could provide shelter for abortion services. Ultimately, once the constitutional protection for pre-viability abortion disappears, the impending battles over abortion access will transport the half-century war over Roe into a new arena, one that will make abortion jurisprudence more complex than ever before.

Commentary:

Never, ever buy “smart” products.

Why I, As a Libertarian, Think You’re Silly To Worry About Your So-Called Abortion Rights Roy Edroso Breaks It Down

Democrats en Déshabillé

A top California official pushed hard for a $600-million mask deal. Fraud claims followed Los Angeles Times. Betty Yee.

Rules For Conservative Radicals The American Conservative. TAC thinks liberal NGOs are more effective than they are.

The Bezzle

“Throwing hazardous objects in front of the vehicle”:

Worth watching.

AI research is a dumpster fire and Google’s holding the matches The Next Web

Blink, Bid, Buy London Review of Books. Digital advertising.

Imperial Collapse Watch

Watchdog group finds F-35 sustainment costs could be headed off affordability cliff Defense News

Sports Desk

Rich Strike, an 80-1 Long Shot, Surges to a Shocking Upset in the Kentucky Derby WSJ

‘The Last Days of Roger Federer’ Review: Running Out of Time Wall Street Journal

Class Warfare

Amazon Abruptly Fires Senior Managers Tied to Unionized Warehouse NYT

Labor regulators find merit in accusations by unions at Amazon and Starbucks. NYT

Less immigrant labor in US contributing to price hikes AP (dk).

Workers on Vikings development claim over $100,000 in wage theft Minnesota Reformer

The Guitar as the Instrument of Seducers The Honest Broker

Getting in the groove Aeon

Antidote du jour (via):

Bonus antidote:

See yesterday’s Antidote du Jour and Links here.

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